Hormuz disruption has raised the floor on material costs
Shipping disruption around the Strait of Hormuz since early 2026 has pushed up energy, freight and insurance costs. Energy-intensive materials pass that into prices with a lag.
Asia Construction Market Brief · November 2026 edition
A monthly, decision-ready view of ten markets (Southeast Asia, China, India and Japan) for suppliers, manufacturers, contractors and developers deciding where to put people, stock and bids.
Forecast real growth in construction output, 2026. One forecaster is used across markets wherever available, so the comparison is like-for-like.
GlobalData forecasts, latest available update per market. *Cambodia: H2 2025 update. †Japan: RICE real construction investment, fiscal 2026 (different source and fiscal-year basis). Singapore is not shown: its official outlook is a value range, not a growth rate (see scoreboard).
Growth is shifting south and west. Vietnam and India are expanding fastest. Malaysia, Cambodia and Indonesia follow at 5–7%.
China's contraction changes the regional picture. GlobalData cut its China forecast from −1.5% to −9.0% after weaker first-half investment. Chinese producers redirecting output abroad affects steel and building-material pricing across Southeast Asia.
The Philippines is a timing question. Contraction is driven by a public-works slowdown after the flood-control investigations, not by lack of need. A ₱1.3 trillion 2026 infrastructure budget is waiting to be spent.
Quantum APAC view.
The latest hard data point, what is driving demand, the main risk, and our signal for each market.
Signals are Quantum APAC's assessment of near-term construction demand momentum.
Quantum APAC's assessment of 12–24 month opportunity by sector, based on announced pipelines, budgets and investment approvals.
The single largest source of new MEP, electrical, cooling, structural steel and façade demand in the region.
Source: Cushman & Wakefield, Asia Pacific Data Centre H1 2026 Update. Johor figure = 602 MW under construction + 2,486 MW planned.
Under construction now: Southeast Asia had 2,382 MW being built in H1 2026, about half of the Asia-Pacific total. Malaysia led with 1,039 MW, then Thailand with 859 MW.
Next wave: Malaysia's three new hyperscale hubs could hold 17–21 data-centre buildings, with up to four starting in H2 2026.
Thailand is scaling fast: about 86% of Q1 2026 investment applications by value were data centres.
Constraint: power and water availability, not demand, now decides which projects proceed. Suppliers with energy-efficient and low-water cooling solutions have an edge.
What is moving tender prices and landed costs across the region.
Shipping disruption around the Strait of Hormuz since early 2026 has pushed up energy, freight and insurance costs. Energy-intensive materials pass that into prices with a lag.
China's finished-steel exports fell 2.3% in Jan–Oct 2026 under export licensing and anti-dumping cases. Bar exports rose 13.1% in Jan–Sep, mainly to Southeast Asian and Middle East infrastructure.
Japan's construction workforce is down to 4.78 million, and Vietnam's Long Thanh airport was short about 2,000 workers mid-year.
The steel line tracks steel producers' shares (VanEck Steel ETF). Spot steel prices are not available as a free live feed.
Events that will open or close bidding windows.
North–South high-speed rail (US$67bn): the ministry's target for construction start has moved to December 2027. Feasibility and consultant packages come first.
Whether public-works spending recovers in Q4 as the government expects. A recovery would bring a burst of contract awards against a low base.
Three to four hyperscale data-centre roll-outs expected in H2 2026, plus progress on the Johor–Singapore economic zone.
How quickly the roughly ฿1tn of data-centre projects approved by the BOI this year turns into construction contracts in the Eastern Economic Corridor.
Any new property or infrastructure stimulus. Absent that, expect continued export pressure on steel and building materials.
Energy and freight costs. A sustained easing would relieve material prices; renewed disruption would reset them higher.
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